For years, I’ve been warning that a value-added tax (VAT) would be a terrible idea. Simply stated, politicians would have no reason to control spending or reform entitlements if they had a new source of tax revenue.
In this video, I explain why this European-style national sales tax is a money machine for bigger government.
Japan’s politicians are confirming my argument. Here are some details from a new report in the Wall Street Journal.
Japan’s parliament passed a landmark tax bill Friday, finalizing the legal framework to double the nation’s sales tax by 2015 as a step toward fiscal reconstruction. The upper house enactment of the contentious bill marks the end of Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s tortuous 12-month road to raise the tax to 8% in April 2014 and 10% in October 2015. …The sales tax hike will be the first since 1997, when the rate was raised to the current 5% from 3%.
Wow, more than tripling the tax between 1997 and 2015. I wonder how long it will take Japan’s political class to boost the rate to 20 percent?
But that’s only part of the story.
Mr. Noda also had to promise to dissolve the lower house “in the near term” in exchange for…endorsement of the bill in the opposition-controlled upper house.
Wow, if I’m reading that passage correctly, it sounds like Prime Minister Noda is willing to lose power in order to impose this new tax. This shows an amazing amount of greed for new revenue.
I’m surprised, though, that his party didn’t kick him out and elect a new leader. They must be as politically incompetent as the supposedly right-wing party in Slovakia that surrendered power to the socialists in order to get support for the Greek bailout.
However, the WSJ article also suggests that the tax is not a done deal.
The bill includes a provision making an “economic upturn” a condition for implementing the rate hike. The government refused to specify in the bill exactly what an upturn entails, and lawmakers have different interpretations. DPJ tax policy chief Hirohisa Fujii told Dow Jones that only an economic shrinkage of 3% or more should prevent the tax increase from taking place.
Isn’t that remarkable. This onerous tax hike can only go into effect if there’s an “economic upturn,” and one of the sleazy politicians from the ruling party is defining an economic contraction of -2.99 percent as meeting that test.
Sound like Mr. Fujii should become friends with the Obama Administration officials who relied on Keynesian economic theory to concoct an infamous prediction that unemployment would never rise above 8 percent if Washington squandered more than $800 billion on a faux stimulus.
But if he’s smart, Mr. Fujii will grab as much loot as possible and emigrate. Japan’s long-term finances are a disaster, and the VAT increase is a pretty good sign that politicians have no intention of turning the ship of state before it rams the fiscal iceberg.
And now you’ll understand even more why I’m worried about the pro-VAT sympathies of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan.
its 25 percent in Sweden, 20 UK and last year St Kitts went from zero to 17 percent. regards Bill
Sent from my iPhone
The VAT will also end up being just as distorted at other taxes, with some industries being favored and others being penalized. Politicians will identify what things the 1% buy (and they don’t) and tax the daylights out of them. Anyone who remembers the yacht luxury tax of the 1980s will know how that turns out (of course, Yacht’s from, say, Massachusetts, would be given a pass.)
[...] via Just as Happened in Europe, the VAT Is Becoming a Money Machine for Big Govenrment in Japan « Inter…. [...]
If prices are shown tax excluded as with the Canadian GST there is an argument that a VAT/GST is a good thing as it puts the level of taxation right in peoples faces. Canada is in fact the one and only nation to actually reduce its VAT rate after introduction as it did back in 2006 and 2007. (Note: Canada is also the only nation to have the previously explained policy of tax excluded pricing. This is largely in keeping with long time North American pricing practice of pricing goods on a pre State/Provincial Sales Tax Basis). If the US Federal Government actually kept with existing practice at the Canadian Federal, Canadian Provincial Level, and US State Level again a VAT might be a better alternative to current personal and corporate income tax rates.
It’s my understanding that the tax (in Japan) is a pure sales tax, not a VAT tax. Given their hopelessly corrupt income tax system, this is probably the better way to go for them.
I prefer sales tax to VAT tax since the latter is largely hidden and imposes a heavy bureaucracy on the entire business chain.
[...] in mind, by the way, that $1.5 trillion would be the floor, not the ceiling. As we’re seeing in Japan, politicians can’t resist boosting the rate whenever they want to spend more [...]
[...] http://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2012/08/12/just-as-happened-in-europe-the-vat-is-becoming-a-mon…Related posts:Blowback From U.S. Role As Global Tax CopUS Pivot to Asia Promises More of the Same – Ivan ElandRomney’s Paul Ryan VP Pick Pleases War HawksPeter Schiff: The Inevitable CollapseCalifornia CrashingWill Grigg: "This Isn't America" — You Can't Say That HereHow Many Times Can the Fed Play this Hand?Ben Bernanke Plots More Mayhem?Detlev Schlichter: U.S. Republicans introduce gold standard debate – mainstream media go mentalPeter Schiff: The real fiscal cliffPaul Craig Roberts: Spinning Bad Financial News Into GoodRest of World Begins to Catch Up to Daily Bell?The Simple Case for GoldOfficial Report of Israeli Assassinations in IranThe Corrupting Influence of Political Intelligence This entry was posted in News Commentary and tagged Economics, Ratchet Effect by admin. Bookmark the permalink. [...]
[...] Was it the Japanese government’s decision to double the value-added tax? I’m definitely not a fan of adding a VAT on top of the income tax, but Japan made that [...]
[...] Was it the Japanese government’s decision to double the value-added tax? I’m definitely not a fan of adding a VAT on top of the income tax, but Japan made that mistake [...]
[...] *The same thing is now happening in Japan. [...]