A couple of decades can make a huge difference in the political and economic life of a jurisdiction.
- Two decades ago, Venezuela had not yet been subjected to the horror of Hugo Chavez and his destructive statism.
- Three decades ago, the pro-market success story of Estonia was an enslaved part of the totalitarian Soviet Union.
- Four decades ago, the Latin superstar of Chile was still in a hangover stage from a disastrous communist government.
- Five decades ago, Ronald Reagan was a conservative governor of the now-notoriously left-wing state of California.
And here’s something especially amazing from a bit more than five decades in the past. New Jersey used to have no state income tax and no state sales tax.
Yes, your eyes are not deceiving you. The basket case of New Jersey used to be a mid-Atlantic version of New Hampshire. But once the sales tax was imposed in 1966 and the income tax was imposed in 1976, it’s been all downhill ever since.
An article in the City Journal helps to explain the state’s fiscal decay.
Brendan Byrne, a Democratic former governor of the Garden State, …told mayors that the state would need a “large revenue package”… The heart of the package would be a new statewide income tax, which went into permanent effect in 1977.
Byrne promised that the additional money would help relieve the high property-tax burden on New Jersey’s citizens… Four decades later, the plan has failed. …politicians and special interests don’t see new streams of tax revenue as a means to replace or eliminate an existing stream, but rather as a way of adding to the public coffers. (For those who entertain fantasies of a value-added tax replacing the federal income tax, take heed.) New Jersey’s income tax started with a top rate of about 2.5 percent; it’s now around 9 percent.
Needless to say, nothing politicians promised has happened.
Property taxes haven’t been reduced. They’ve gone up. The government schools haven’t improved. Instead, the test scores in the state are embarrassing. And debt hasn’t gone down. Red ink instead has skyrocketed.
And what’s amazing – and depressing – is that New Jersey politicians continue to make a bad situation worse. Here are some excerpts from a Bloomberg report.
New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy proposed taxing online-room booking, ride-sharing, marijuana, e-cigarettes and Internet transactions along with raising taxes on millionaires and retail sales to fund a record $37.4 billion budget
that would boost spending on schools, pensions and mass transit. …Murphy, a Democrat…has promised additional spending on underfunded schools and transportation in a credit-battered state with an estimated $8.7 billion structural deficit for the fiscal year that starts July 1. …Murphy said Tuesday in his budget address to lawmakers. “A millionaire’s tax is the right thing to do –- and now is the time to do it.” …The budget…would…restore the state’s sales tax to 7 percent from 6.625 percent… Murphy’s proposal would almost triple the direct state subsidy for New Jersey Transit, which has been plagued by safety and financial issues.
More taxes, more spending, followed by even more taxes and more spending.
I wonder if Greek taxpayers would want to tell their counterparts in New Jersey how that story ends.
Assuming, of course, there are any taxpayers left in the Garden State. There’s already been a big exodus of productive people who are tired of being treated like fatted calves.
And don’t forget that New Jersey taxpayers no longer have unlimited ability to deduct their state and local taxes on their federal tax return. So these tax hikes will hurt much more than past increases.
In any event, taxpayers better escape before the die.
Though I know one guy who won’t be leaving.
P.S. Anybody want to guess whether New Jersey collapses before California, Illinois, or Connecticut? They’re all in the process of committing slow-motion suicide.
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a saw-buck on IL………
I’d add Maryland to that list.
But I’m betting on California.
Should we get a pool going?
My money is still on Illinois
populations have to be indoctrinated to accept the supremacy and authority of a statist government… self reliance and personal authority are discouraged by our educational and social systems… the Europeans have been indoctrinated for generations… for the most part… they are lost to the whims of the socialist elite… globalist indoctrination efforts are going full force in our classrooms… the people in the educational system are more interested in pensions and social engineering than they are academic achievement… our kids are being spoon fed big government socialism from the time they can walk… the media… the schools… the entertainment industry all work in unison to produce a docile population accepting of a politically correct world… suitable for social justice warriors… and those among us appreciative of safe spaces… stuffed animals… cultural censorship… and [of course] high taxes… in the old days… it was important to understand our constitution… the meaning of personal responsibility… history and hard work… not so in the age of globalism… and Bernie Sander’s socialist values… we are raising voter lemmings… not free citizens… not men and women passionate about personal and economic freedom…………. and that’s just too dammed bad…
Get ready for even faster changes.
There has not been a time of sustained structural worldwide growth since the beginning of history — and the trend is even accelerating!
As everything human is irreversibly growing ever faster, ascents and declines that used to take millennia or centuries will now conclude in a few short decades — and accelerating!
The wise stay mobile.
PS. Perhaps the most depressing of all in New Jersey is that New Jerseyans, save short remissions, keep voting for ever bigger government politicians. Once you enter the deterministic decline cycle of big government low growth — you typically ride it to the bottom. Once the cool aid of big government starts flowing, it is virtually impossible to give it up. Anyone show me a developed country with big government that is sustainably growing faster than the world average and I’ll soften my position. Or show me an arithmetic whereby a country can maintain prosperity leadership with growth rates below the world average. If so I’d like to go back in time and sell you some Sears stock.
PPS. Since I’m quite familiar with Greece I’d like to say that (in typical public choice fashion) Greek taxpayers have learned nothing from the crisis. Greek voters entered the crisis with a statist mindset and are now exiting the crisis with an even stronger statist mindset. Their capital markets may have found equilibrium at the bottom but their social capital as citizens has eroded even further. Save perhaps some short lived rebounds, Greece’s long term trendline trajectory looks a lot worse than a decade ago. I remain convinced that Greece’s future is a Mussaka Republic: a low growth statist basket case country inhabited by lemmings run by a mafia of enviro-planners living though the resource-curse of the country’s natural tourism endowment. In good times, electorates do not realize they’re already circling the drain.
PPPS. If the heavy taxes of New Jersey have not changed the mind of the electorate so far, it is unlikely that the additional 20-25% burden of federal non-deductibility will change their minds. As I mentioned, they will ride it to the bottom. Perhaps more importantly, as I said, as everything human is now moving lightning fast and accelerating, we will see wealthy jurisdictions sink, and bottomed out jurisdictions rise, in a way and at velocities we never thought possible.
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