If you took a poll of Washington’s richest and most powerful people, you would probably find more than 90 percent of them support tax increases.
At first glance, this doesn’t make sense. Why would a group of upper-income people want tax hikes? Are they self-loathing and guilt-ridden?
Perhaps, but there’s a better explanation. These are people whose lavish lifestyles are because of big government. And when government gets even bigger, they have more chances to obtain unearned wealth.
So it makes perfect sense for them to support tax increases. They may send an additional 5 percent of their income to the IRS, but their income will be 20 percent higher because of all the money sloshing around Washington.
Once you understand their motivations, it’s easy to understand why Washington insiders are so supportive of “bipartisan budget deals” and why they salivate so much for a value-added tax.
And you can also see why they’re so anxious to get a President who hasn’t signed the no-tax-hike pledge.
Which may explain why Jeremy Scott, the editor of Tax Notes, is upset that Governor Jeb Bush is now expressing opposition to tax hikes. Here’s some of what he wrote for Forbes, starting with a description of Bush’s original open-to-tax-hikes position.
Before announcing his candidacy, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush said he wouldn’t agree to Grover Norquist’s pledge not to raise taxes, and he hinted that he would, in fact, trade $10 of spending cuts for $1 of tax increases. …he went out of his way earlier this year to talk about his flexibility on fiscal policy.
That part of Mr. Scott’s column is accurate.
I also noticed Gov. Bush’s stance at the time, albeit it caused me to worry because politicians will never impose meaningful spending restraint and reform entitlements if they think tax increases are feasible.
Anyhow, Scott then points out that Gov. Bush seems to have moved to an anti-tax hike position.
At an August 2 conference…, Bush flatly said no when asked if he would accept tax hikes as part of a budget deal. “We’ve raised taxes. What we need to be doing is entitlement reform, curbing the growth of spending, creating a high-growth scenario,” the former governor elaborated.
I’m not sure if what Bush said puts him firmly in the no-tax-hike camp, but it’s certainly true that his rhetoric has moved in the right direction.
Which doesn’t make Scott happy. And here’s where he veers from accurate reporting to sloppy and bizarre assertions.
If Jeb Bush needs to shore up his right flank on taxes, it reveals that the GOP has veered far from its positional flexibility that made the 1980s so successful for tax reform efforts. President Reagan was willing to accept tax increases as part of grand bargains on taxes and fiscal policy. …the GOP…won’t control 60 seats in the upper chamber. That means they will need at least some Democratic support. And no party will want to undertake tax reform without at least some bipartisanship. A Jeb Bush victory in 2016 seemed like the best-case scenario for people who want some kind of broad tax reform. His retreat on a willingness to compromise is a major blow to those hopes.
Wow, that’s a lot of misleading statements in a short excerpt.
Let’s correct some of Mr. Scott’s mistakes.
- The 1986 Tax Reform Act was revenue neutral. In other words, it was designed so that the government didn’t get any additional money. Scott is completely wrong to assert that a willingness to raise taxes is a prerequisite for tax reform.
- Scott is correct that Reagan acquiesced to some tax increases, but he conveniently fails to
share the data showing that “grand bargains” with tax hikes invariably failed to produce good results. The only deal that led to a balanced budget was the 1997 agreement that lowered taxes.
- It is incorrect to assert that 60 votes are needed in the Senate to enact major fiscal legislation. Yes, the filibuster still exists, but budget rules explicitly allow “reconciliation” bills that don’t require supermajority support.
- A pro-tax hike candidate is only the “best-case scenario” if one thinks that voters should be tricked by using tax reform as a Trojan Horse for tax increases.
The final point is the one that really matters. To reiterate what I stated earlier, the Washington establishment is unified in its support of higher taxes for the obvious reason that more money flowing to Washington is good news for politicians, bureaucrats, consultants, lobbyists, cronyists, special interests, contractors, and other insiders.
Simply stated, a bigger government means they get richer (and they’ve been quite successful, as you can see from this depressing map).
Here’s the bottom line.
Using the term “grand bargain” also doesn’t change the fact that higher taxes will lead to weaker growth, more spending, and larger deficits.
And (mis)using the term “tax reform” doesn’t change the fact that higher taxes will lead to weaker growth, more spending, and larger deficits.
Nor does a reference to “flexibility” change the fact that higher taxes will lead to weaker growth, more spending, and larger deficits.
I could continue, but you get the point.
P.S. Let’s close by shifting to another topic. Many people express disbelief when I argue that politicians such as Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders are not socialists.
In my defense, I’m making a technical point about the economic definition of socialism, which means government ownership of the means of production. And the vast majority of American leftists don’t seem overly interested in having government steel companies, government banks, or government farms. They prefer instead to allow private ownership combined with high levels of taxation and regulation.
If you want to see a real socialist, look on the other side of the Atlantic, where the Labour Party appears poised to elect a complete loon as its leader. The U.K.-based Independent reports that Jeremy Corbyn favors “common ownership” of industry.
…the man who has set alight the leadership race says the party needs to reinstate a clear commitment to public ownership of industry in a move which would reverse one of the defining moments in Labour’s history. …Corbyn reveals that he wants to reinstate Clause Four, the hugely symbolic commitment to socialism scrapped under Tony Blair 20 years ago, in its original wording or a similar phrase that weds the Labour Party to public ownership of industry. …The old Clause Four stated that the party was committed to “common ownership of the means of production, distribution and exchange”
I can’t think of any Democrats who admit to favoring similar language for their party platform.
Though I should acknowledge that we have a government-run rail company in America, a government-run postal service, a government-run retirement system, and a government-run air traffic control system, all of which would be better in the private sector. And I’m sure Obama, Sanders, and many other politicians would be opposed to privatization.
So maybe the most accurate way of describing leftist politicians in America is to say that they’re redistributionists with a side order of socialism.
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As America’s voter sanctioned trajectory implies, the future of American prosperity falls somewhere along the lines of Argentina and France. Argentina has matured while France is well into the process of gradually revealing its ultimate destiny. After all France is Argentina with a two decade delay in implementing the coercively collectivist principles of progressivism.
France’s growth was again a structural near zero. “Mighty” Germany performed at around 1.5% annualized, less than half the world average and consistent with its recent trendline.
But hey,once Germans start sharing more their slow growing prosperity with Southern Europe, things will take off. With the south working even harder to thank their northern benefactors and with German taxpayers scrambling to earn and recapture the additional wealth gone to Greek subsidies, the continent is poised for rebirth into a high growth powerhouse: A continent that at least matches the 4% average world growth trendline and thus staves off European continental decline.
Meanwhile, after two centuries of alienation, the American prodigal voter-lemming is rediscovering the beacon of prosperity he once rebelled against: Europe.
The future looks bright.
Dan- one thing you failed to point out is that our tax system is heavily weighted to INCOME tax. Most rich folks (Buffet for instance) don’t really have any income, and so avoid any of that tax. So, raising taxes simply does not phase them. Most of their income is to foundations which they run, and seem free to avail themselves to the fruits of its profits. Private planes, lavish dinners, lavish living, etc. And there are enough loopholes in the tax system that all of that stuff is essentially off-limits for taxes anyway. So, as usual, any tax hike effects only those who bear the burden of taxation- the mid to high income working class.
All he needs to do now, is tell us to read his lips.