Regular readers know that one of my main goals is to preserve and promote tax competition as a means of restraining the greed of the political class. Heck, I almost wound up in a Mexican jail because of my work defending low-tax jurisdictions.
As you can imagine, it’s difficult to persuade politicians. After all, why would they support policies such as fiscal sovereignty and financial privacy that hinder their ability to extract more revenue?
So I try to educate them about the link between taxes and growth in hopes that they will understand that a vibrant economy also means a large tax base.
And I specifically tell them that so-called tax havens play a very valuable role since they are an alternative source of investment capital for nations that have undermined domestic investment with bad tax policy.
And I also explain to them that low-tax jurisdictions give companies some much-needed flexibility to maintain operations in an otherwise hostile fiscal environment. Let’s look at that specific issue by reviewing some of the findings from a study by two Canadian economists about tax havens and business activity.
In the introduction to their study, they describe the general concern (among politicians) that competition between governments will lead to lower tax rates.
Increased mobility of goods and services is apt to give rise to an erosion of corporate tax bases in high-tax industrialized countries, a decline in tax revenues and a rise in competition among governments. Countries seeking to attract and retain mobile investment and the associated tax revenues may be induced to reduce tax rates below the levels that would obtain in the absence of mobility. In the view of some commentators, indeed, increased mobility can lead to a “race to the bottom” driving business tax rates to minimal levels, due to the fiscal externalities that mobility creates.
It certainly is true that tax competition has pressured politicians to lower tax rates, and the academic research shows that this is a good thing, notwithstanding complaints by leftists economists such as Jeffrey Sachs.
What folks on the left don’t understand is that there is a big difference between tax rates and tax revenue. Thanks in large part to Laffer-Curve effects, the big decline in tax rates in the past three decades has not led to a decline in tax revenues.
Indeed, taxes on income and profit, measured as a share of GDP, have increased as tax rates have declined.
But I’m getting distracted. The purpose of this post is to analyze the findings of the two Canadian economists.
Here are their major conclusions, which show that tax havens actually help high-tax nations by allowing companies to engage in “real economic activities” in spite of punitive tax policies.
Financial mobility is manifested in the decisions of multinational enterprises to separate research and development and capital financing activities from production and sales of outputs, and so to engage in “tax planning” to realize income from intellectual property and from capital in jurisdictions different from those where real economic activities are located. …While tax planning may reduce revenues of high-tax jurisdictions, therefore, it may have offsetting effects on real investment that are attractive to governments. In principle, then, the presence of international tax planning opportunities may allow countries to maintain or even increase high business tax rates, while preventing an outflow of foreign direct investment. …the investment-enhancing effects of international tax planning can dominate the revenue-erosion effects. The implications of this view are strong: an increase in international tax avoidance can lead to…an increase in the welfare of citizens of high-tax countries. …consistent with our model, governments may be reluctant to close such “loopholes,” because of fears of losses in multinational employment and, in particular, expatriations of ownership and headquarters operations to low-tax countries. …revenue losses due to tax planning are irrelevant, and what matters is the effect of tax planning on the level of multinational investment in high-tax countries and its deadweight costs for the economy, if any.
In other words, tax havens make it possible for companies to indirectly reduce their overall tax burden, thus making it economically feasible to continue operating – and retaining jobs – in nations with bad tax policy.
Other economists have reached similar conclusions. At about the 7:20 mark of this video, I cite research by Mihir Desai, Fritz Foley, and James Hines that also found that tax havens facilitate greater economic activity in high-tax nations.
P.S. I’ve done lots of debates about tax havens (on American TV, British TV, and French TV) and those of you attending FreedomFest can see me cross rhetorical swords in a debate with James Henry of the Tax Justice Network. As you can see from the agenda, I’ll also be moderating a panel on tax reform and introducing Charles Murray’s talk on how to limit the state.
P.S.S. There’s something about tax havens that causes statists to become even more irrational than they usually are. Some of them actually advocate military action against these peaceful jurisdictions! I’m wondering if this is their way of compensating for the guilt that they feel since many well-known leftists invest their money in these low-tax jurisdictions.
Reblogged this on Orange County Living Trust and commented:
Questions? http://www.TAX.GD
Charles Murray’s excellent ideas contained in his book, “In Our Hands: A Plan to Replace the Welfare State”, were the basis for my broader ranging 10-25 Plan.
Murray suggested bypassing means-testing bureaucrats and politicians by going direct to the people with cash payments. My modification is to incorporate his suggestion into the tax code, in order to create a “progressive flat tax”. Because tax collection can be separated from cash distribution, the flat tax portion can be efficiently collected by businesses with no need for employees to file taxes. On the cash distribution end, cash payments to every citizen over 21 replace both means-tested support and tax deductions.
For more on this see:
Politicians, like most people and voters, act favoring the short rather than the long term. The increased tax revenue that comes from growth is real, but this permanent and compounding effect takes ten, twenty years to start materializing. By contrast, increased revenue due to higher taxation is immediate – unless you are already taxing so much that you are on the descending side of the SHORT TERM Laffer curve, in which case further tax increases have an immediate negative effect on tax revenue (this is the situation that France and most other western democracies are entering).
In other words, politicians, just like voters and most people, completely ignore the Rahn Curve which is the main determinant of LONG-TERM prosperity. Eventually they do (have) to pay attention to the Laffer Curve because of its immediate effects, but by that time they have driven their countries to growth rates much below potential – i.e. into the road to decline.
[…] Así las cosas, podemos decir que los “paraísos fiscales” han contribuido a reducir los impuestos en los infiernos fiscales. No obstante, como esto es positivo para la economía, la recaudación no se ha derrumbado sino que ha aumentado de forma progresiva. Esta conclusión también la han alcanzado los estudios de Devereux (2002) y Slemrod (2004). De hecho, en relación con el PIB, los impuestos a la renta y a los beneficios empresariales en la OCDE han pasado de recaudar el 11% en 1975 al 12,5% en 2008. […]
I always agree with you tax comments. But having been involved in moving plants offshore there is something else that is almost as important that is never mentioned. That is regulations, even if the US lowered tax rated who would want to come and work with the EPA, OSHA, Obamacare and so on. That alone is enough to keep investment out of this country regardless of tax rates.
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High taxes depress economic growth. Anybody with any semblance of common sense would understand this.
[…] also makes the key point that tax havens actually are good for the economies of high-tax nations because they serve as platforms for investment and job creation that otherwise might not […]