I’ve written about the fiscal implosion in Europe and warned that America faces the same fate if we don’t reform poorly designed entitlement programs such as Medicare and Medicaid.
But this new video from the Center for Freedom and Prosperity, narrated by an Italian student and former Cato Institute intern, may be the best explanation of what went wrong in Europe and what should happen in the United States to avoid a similar meltdown.
I particularly like the five lessons she identifies.
1. Higher taxes lead to higher spending, not lower deficits. Miss Morandotti looks at the evidence from Europe and shows that politicians almost always claim that higher taxes will be used to reduce red ink, but the inevitable result is bigger government. This is a lesson that gullible Republicans need to learn – especially since some of them want to acquiesce to a tax hike as part of the “Supercommitee” negotiations.
2. A value-added tax would be a disaster. This was music to my ears since I have repeatedly warned that the statists won’t be able to impose a European-style welfare state in the United States without first imposing this European-style money machine for big government.
3. A welfare state cripples the human spirit. This was the point eloquently made by Hadley Heath of the Independent Women’s Forum in a recent video.
4. Nations reach a point of no return when the number of people mooching off government exceeds the number of people producing. Indeed, Miss Morandotti drew these two cartoons showing how the welfare state inevitably leads to fiscal collapse.
5. Bailouts don’t work. This also was a powerful lesson. Imagine how much better things would be in Europe if Greece never received an initial bailout. Much less money would have been flushed down the toilet and this tough-love approach would have sent a very positive message to nations such as Portugal, Italy, and Spain about the danger of continued excessive spending.
If I was doing this video, I would have added one more message. If nations want a return to fiscal sanity, they need to follow “Mitchell’s Golden Rule,” which simply states that the private sector should grow faster than the government.
This rule is not overly demanding (spending actually should be substantially cut, including elimination of departments such as HUD, Transportation, Education, Agriculture, etc), but if maintained over a lengthy period will eliminate all red ink. More importantly, it will reduce the burden of government spending relative to the productive sector of the economy.
Unfortunately, the politicians have done precisely the wrong thing during the Bush-Obama spending binge. Government has grown faster than the private sector. This is why this new video is so timely. Europe is collapsing before our eyes, yet the political elite in Washington think it’s okay to maintain business-as-usual policies.
Please share widely…before it’s too late.
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I sure wish she was eligible to run for office in the US. She’d have my vote!
Richard40:
Thank you for your reply (and thanks to ts_alfabet too!)
I entirely agree that the euro welfare state “is not over yet”: that is why I moved to Eastern Europe, remember?
But I have a Marxian attitude: in the long run, what the political class wants, and what the voters want, does.not.matter: what matters are economic forces; and the single most important economic force, in my view, is Parkinson’s Law, meaning that the welfare state will inevitably grow until it collapses. When that happens, I do not want to be in Western Europe, and I hope that people dear to me are not there either.
Also, I did not suggest “recolonization”: I expect some enterprising Americans to move there after the welfare state collapses; but not a flood. (Unless things become really bad in North America, which I hope will not be the case.)
To Snorri Godhi.
Interesting comment. The problem though is the European welfare state is not actually over yet, it just ran out of money. The politicians that made it, and the leftist voters that voted for them, are still there. Most of the high taxes are still there too. Recolinization cannot start until those lefties are totally out of power, spending rolled back to less than 20% of GDP, and taxes reduced to reasonable levels. Until then expect lots of misery, and lots of leftist riots, like you see in Greece.
Interesting point about Eastern Europe though. Having lived under actual communism, they are better able to realize the value of the free market.
If there is one lesson we have learned from “observing” governments is that they do not “learn lessons!”
What’s with all these center for freedom and prosperity videos narrated by beautiful young ethnic women?
I agree. This is deliberate.
Sadly, these are paid actresses, and do not actually believe in the philosophical basis of what they are hired to narrate. They are probably Obama-all-the-way, as young girls often are.
“Government” as we term it (actually, the political system) is a monopoly. Those running it are allowed, by near complete consent of the ruled, to do things that, for others, would be considered common law crimes.
Given this, it is laughably absurd to think that people entrusted with such power, including the power to police their own actions, would behave other than as common criminals writ large.
We get the government to which our (ignorant) neighbors consent. People inherently wish to get something for nothing, or to shift their costs onto the backs of others. Politicians gain power by promising to do exactly this feat of alchemy. Yet for thousands of years people have enslaved themselves to this system. Modern political systems disguise the slavery pretty well, unless one tries to fly commercial in the USA. Then we discover who built the pyramids: We did. The slaves meekly pass through the nudi-scans or get groped by TSA’rs, The Pharaohs fly government, charter, or private.
The 2012 elections might be the last chance the U.S. has to paddle out of the stream before we go over the waterfall. But it will take a colossal effort, to wit: a clear GOP majority in the House and Senate; a GOP President; a voting public that constantly demands that the GOP actually cut real spending starting with what’s left of the 2013 Budget (remember that the Dem-controlled Senate has refused to actually pass a budget for the past 3+ years so the 2013 Budget will be a continuation of the Continuing Budget Resolutions that just keep funding government at the same, insane levels).
Given the slim chance of this happening, we are going over the waterfall folks, so it is time to start preparing for something like what happened in Argentina in the late 1990’s when their economy collapsed. It won’t be the end of the world but it will be far worse than the Depression and it might be the end of the republic. Best case: federal government collapses and States are left to pull through as best they can. Worst case: authoritarian government that nationalizes everything in sight, wage and price controls, 5 year plans, confiscation of private property including 401K’s, savings accounts, tangible assets.
How’s that for cheery?
@ Snorri:
Wouldn’t it be ironic if Americans re-colonized Europe as you seem to suggest? Biggest obstacle I see to that is the growing numbers of Islamists in Europe who are not assimilating and are growing in political power throughout much of Europe.
She is right to warn Americans, of course, but maybe too pessimistic about Western Europe: after the collapse of the welfare state, enterprising Americans will flock to Western Europe to enjoy the new birth of freedom. (Just as I and other Western Europeans have moved to Eastern Europe, and love it.)
slight variation to Mitchell’s Golden Rule:
gdp growth, versus govt growth.
inflation adjusted:
carter, govt +17,2%, gdp +9.4%.
reagan, govt +23%, gdp +29%.
bush 41, govt +7.8%, gdp +6.5%.
clinton, govt +12.7%, gdp +30.4%.
bush, govt +34.7%, gdp +20.7%.
obama?
numbers are still coming in, but going from 3.107 trillion in 2009, to 3.991 trillion in 2010 represents a 28% increase in govt spending.
he more than doubled the rate of increase in govt spending, relative to clinton’s two terms.
for all the talk of reagan’s spending, 23% increase over 8 years, is LESS than 28% over one year.
gdp?
real gdp, 2008 13.2 trillion. real gdp 2010, 13.1 trillion.
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I know quite a number of struggling people. Some have struggled from $8 per hour to $16 per hour over the last 10 years by showing up to work everyday and working hard. I’ve seen other people struggle not to get fired from $11 per hour jobs because they miss a lot of Mondays. I’ve seen people struggle with the fact that they have a BS and can only get a $10/hour job because they never groom themselves and don’t work hard enough to keep a job.
In my experience 80% of the group of people that are struggling could keep a job and improve their life if the just avoid drinking too much (and other drugs), stay out of jail, show up and actually work.
Sure at $10 an hour you’re not living like a king – but avoid having out of wedlock kids to support and you can survive. Do that for a few years and you can build some skills and move up in income. Share a place with someone else and spend wisely and you’ll do fine. (Though you can’t live in NYC probably)
As Mark L. noted: “Winston Churchill made an approprate reply: “The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries.”
So I ask is which is preferable: equality of misery or inequality of blessings?”
I prefer the inequality of blessings. Because what I consider “blessed enough” may not be what another does.
I was the guy at the rally with the sign “I’d rather have the benefits of extended employment, than the extension of unemployment benefits.”
Greg says “great in theory, but do these people actually know any struggling people except in the aggregate?”
To which Winston Churchill made an approprate reply: “The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings; the inherent virtue of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries.”
So I ask is which is preferable: equality of misery or inequality of blessings?
How is “Do you know any struggling people?” supposed to be a refutation of this? Destruction of the economy at the hands of the political class causes an awful lot of struggling and suffering–claiming that stopping or at least slowing down this destructive process is somehow due to ignorance of human suffering doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. Not being able to find a job, afford decent goods or services, or plan for the future because the government has wrecked the currency and the ability of people to coordinate their actions and decisions helps “struggling people” how, exactly?
So hot….want to touch the hiney!
So many have bought into the great fallacy that we can ELIMINATE “poverty.” There will always be those with less and those with more. There will always be those who are “struggling.” Our definition of “struggling” though is a far cry from other places in the world. The people in Somalia are beyond “struggling.” They would be happy to have a week’s worth of groceries, let alone all the “necessities” people in the US believe they have to have. People would not be “struggling” if they lived within their means and saved something for a rainy day. That may mean doing without cell phones for everyone, cable TV and getting your nails done. It irks me to see someone on welfare with gold around their neck and a recent manicure. No one OWES you anything. EARN it!! And I know what I am talking about, because I lived without those “necessities” and worked my up to earn a comfortable living. And I still live well below my means and save for a rainy day, because tomorrow is not guaranteed. One other thing, you can’t always get the pay you “deserve” or the job you want, sometimes you wash dishes and clean other people’s toilets until you do. (I have also done that.)
What’s with all these center for freedom and prosperity videos narrated by beautiful young ethnic women? Don’t worry, we’d still watch them if they were narrated by gruff middle aged men with New York accents, not that I’m complaining 😉
greg, what are you proposing for the “struggling people”?
great in theory, but do these people actually know any struggling people except in the aggregate