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Archive for November 2nd, 2010

A very amusing video…and absolutely savage.

Warning, there are a few dirty words.

The only comment I’ll make is that I’m an old-fashioned romantic, so the concept of community-based, volunteer-staffed fire departments is very appealing. But I reckon that’s not realistic in many cases, so I have no philosophical objection to government-financed fire departments. But why can’t they be “contracted out,” so various private fire-fighting companies can place bids? I think some communities actually do it this way, though maybe my info is out of date.

Or if the local governments want to operate fire departments, why not peg total compensation to the local average of private sector wages and benefits? If there are not enough qualified applicants, that would be an indication that a premium is warranted (that would be no surprise since firefighters periodically put their lives on the line). But don’t have insider contracts between local politicians and government employee union bosses, which result in absurd contracts – with some of the money recycled back to politicians as campaign contributions. That’s a sweet deal for everyone…except the taxpayers.

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Actually, if you want good election predictions, don’t listen to me. I’m just an amateur without any special expertise. If you want real knowledge, I encourage you to visit these three sites:

Realclearpolitics.com, which has good summaries of polling data and predictions based on that data.

Intrade.com, which is a political betting market site, so you are seeing estimates based on people defending their views with cold, hard cash.

Fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com, which is Nate Silver’s site and seems thoroughly researched.

But since several of you have emailed for my thoughts, I predict the number of House Republicans will jump from 178 to 242, for a gain of 64.

In the Senate, the GOP delegation will climb from 41 to 48 (I hope all of you can figure out that’s a gain of seven seats). Since there’s a lot of attention being paid to the Nevada race, I will specifically predict that Harry Reid goes down.

By the way, for any of you in southern in Florida, I’ll be at the Allen West victory party tonight. Stop by and say hello.

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